Magnetic Field EvolutionÉ
George H. Fisher
Space Sciences Laboratory
UC Berkeley

Two different theoretical studies of magnetic field evolution
The generation of small-scale magnetic fields by a turbulent dynamo, and the observational consequencesÉ
The evolution of active region magnetic fields, driven by observational dataÉ
É Illustrating 2 different philosophies for using observational data for research in Solar Physics.

First Approach:  Exploration Ð this is how most research in Solar Physics is done today
Examine the data to formulate new ideas about the underlying physical mechanisms
Construct simple theoretical models that test those ideas and make generalized predictions
Advantages:  Creative and Easy
Disadvantages:  Can lead to multiple, contradictory theories, with few clear tests between them.

Second Approach:  ÒPrognosticÓ Modeling
Incorporate data directly into a theoretical model to predict some other observable phenomenon
Compare the output of the model with observations, and adjust model assumptions until agreement is achieved.
Advantages:  Is the only basis for a physics-based forecasting model
Disadvantages:  Assumes the physical mechanisms already well-understood; doesnÕt easily allow for change of paradigm
This approach is more common in Earth Sciences (e.g. atmospheric and ocean sciences)

Slide 5
The Transport of Magnetic Flux
The effects of convective turbulence on initially Òneutrally-buoyantÓ active
 region-scale magnetic structures with field strengths near the cohesion limit:

Slide 7
The Turbulent Dynamo
Slide 9
Slide 10
The Turbulent Dynamo and X-ray Flux in Stars
The Turbulent Dynamo and X-ray Flux in Stars
Can we develop a physics-based model of magnetic field evolution that could predict solar flares and coronal mass ejections?
Since these phenomena are almost certainly magnetically driven, they must incorporate magnetic field observations (line-of-sight and vector magnetogram data)
Governing evolutionary equations believed to be (pretty) well described by 3-d magnetohydrodynamics (MHD)
How does one incorporate the observations (the A-word)  into an MHD model?  Solving this problem is absolutely critical if we ever want to have a predictive (forecasting) model of space weather.


To what extent can we determine the flows in an active region by observing changes in the magnetic field at the photosphere?
Determining the physically consistent flow field is an essential part of this problem
This is the subject of the Òvelocity shootoutÓ component of WG1 at this workshop
Shooters:  Longcope, Georgeolis, Kusano, Welsch

The LCT, FLCT techniques
LCT schema in use today have one central idea: proper motions of features in 2 successive images - whether G-band filtergrams, Ha images, or photospheric magnetograms - separated in time by Dt are found by maximizing a cross-correlation function, or minimizing an error function between sub-regions of the images. The concept  is generally attributed to November & Simon (1988).
The FLCT method (which we developed) is similar.  For each pixel, we:
multiply each of the 2 images to be correlated by a Gaussian, of width s, centered at that pixel; crop the resulting altered images 1 and 2 by chopping  the insignficant parts of the images;
compute the cross-correlation function between the two cropped images using standard Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) techniques;
use cubic-convolution interpolation to find the shifts in x and y that maximize the cross-correlation function to one of two precisions (chosen by the user), either 0.1 or 0.02 pixel; and
use the shifts in x and y and Dt between images to find the intensity features' apparent motion along the solar surface.

Example of FLCT applied to NOAA AR 8210 (May 1 1998)
The Demoulin & Berger Interpretation of LCT
Degeneracy:  Motions parallel to B do not directly affect apparent motion of magnetic features.
Apparent horizontal motion ULCT is from a combination of horizontal motions and vertical motions acting on non-vertical fields.

The Ideal MHD Induction Equation
How can we ensure that LCT-determined velocities are physically consistent with the magnetic induction equation?
Only the z-component of the induction equation contains no unobservable vertical derivatives:

ILCT Ð Use LCT to constrain solutions of the induction equation
Take 2D divergence, then z-component of the curl of this definition, and make the approximation that U=ULCT:

Apply ILCT to IVM vector magnetogram data for AR 8210
Vector magnetic field data enables us to find 3-D flow field from ILCT via the equations shown on slide 5.  Transverse flows are shown as arrows, up/down flows shown as blue/red contours.

Must have some kind of initial conditions:
Use Force-free field to initialize field in computational volume

Time dependent boundary conditions for the coronal MHD code
Write a separate dynamical code for determining boundary evolution (about 4 zones deep)
Solve magnetic induction, and continuity equations
Substitute ILCT-derived flow field for the momentum equation (this provides the data driving)
Fully couple the coronal MHD code to the boundary code

Illustration of 2 coupled codes
Transparent planes at the bottom illustrate the boundary evolution code

Toward a Data-driven Simulation of AR-8210
4 hrs of solar time, corresponding to the vector magnetogram time sequence
Data Driven Simulations:
Plans for future
Develop better MHD solution algorithms that are optimized for conditions in the solar atmosphere
Find longer vector magnetogram sequences so can run simulation longer
Greatly expand the simulation box size; extend to spherical chunks
Include a shearing of vx, vy in z direction in boundary code to account for observed changes in Bx and By.
Experiment with using LOS magnetograms