Major Flare Watch Evaluation

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(New page: == Introduction == The major flares that produce gamma-ray lines are the highest priority target of the RHESSI Mission. Multi-wavelength imaging and spectroscopic observations before, du...)
(Introduction)
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== Introduction ==
== Introduction ==
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The major flares that produce gamma-ray lines are the highest priority target of the RHESSI Mission.  Multi-wavelength imaging and spectroscopic observations before, during and after such flares are crucial to their interpretation.  To optimize such observations, the Max Millennium Chief Observers (MM_COs)
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Flares that produce gamma-ray lines are the highest priority target of the RHESSI Mission.  Multi-wavelength imaging and spectroscopic observations before, during and after such flares are crucial to their interpretation.  To optimize such observations, the Max Millennium Chief Observers (MM_COs)
[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/mm_co.shtml]
[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/mm_co.shtml]
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announce a Major Flare Watch when the probability of gamma-ray-producing flares is high.  These announcements appear in the Max Millennium Messages of the Day  
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announce a Major Flare Watch when the probability of gamma-ray-producing flares is high.  Such announcements [http://solar.physics.montana.edu/hypermail/mmmotd/3787.html] appear in the Max Millennium Messages of the Day  
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[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/hypermail/mmmotd/index.html], distributed to a self-identifying list of over 200 observers and mission planners through the MMmmotd mailing list and archive
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[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/hypermail/mmmotd/index.html], distributed to over 200 solar observers and mission planners through the self-subscribing MMmmotd mailing list and archive
[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/mmlists.shtml].
[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/mmlists.shtml].
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Throughout the RHESSI mission, up to now, the MMCOs have used a set of Major Flare Watch criteria  
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Throughout the RHESSI mission, the MM_COs have used a set of Major Flare Watch criteria  
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[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/op003/op003.html] that are an outgrowth of the classic BEARALERTS - A Successful Flare Prediction System" [http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1991SoPh..131..149Z] paper by Zirin and Marquette.  A typical MFW announcement  
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[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/max_millennium/ops/op003/op003.html] that are an outgrowth of the classic "BEARALERTS - A Successful Flare Prediction System" [http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1991SoPh..131..149Z] paper by Zirin and Marquette (1991).   
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[http://solar.physics.montana.edu/hypermail/mmmotd/3787.html] identifies the coordinates of a region likely to produce a major flare, and provides some rationale for the choice.  How well has this system worked?  Read on ...
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A typical MFW announcement identifies the coordinates of a region likely to produce a major flare, and provides some rationale for the choice.  ''How well has this system worked?'' That's the subject of this Nugget.

Revision as of 17:43, 9 November 2010

Introduction

Flares that produce gamma-ray lines are the highest priority target of the RHESSI Mission. Multi-wavelength imaging and spectroscopic observations before, during and after such flares are crucial to their interpretation. To optimize such observations, the Max Millennium Chief Observers (MM_COs) [1] announce a Major Flare Watch when the probability of gamma-ray-producing flares is high. Such announcements [2] appear in the Max Millennium Messages of the Day [3], distributed to over 200 solar observers and mission planners through the self-subscribing MMmmotd mailing list and archive [4].

Throughout the RHESSI mission, the MM_COs have used a set of Major Flare Watch criteria [5] that are an outgrowth of the classic "BEARALERTS - A Successful Flare Prediction System" [6] paper by Zirin and Marquette (1991). A typical MFW announcement identifies the coordinates of a region likely to produce a major flare, and provides some rationale for the choice. How well has this system worked? That's the subject of this Nugget.

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